NewsOil prices drop amid Libya turmoil and OPEC+ supply plans

Oil prices drop amid Libya turmoil and OPEC+ supply plans

Libya is experiencing a political crisis caused by a power struggle in this OPEC member state.
Libya is experiencing a political crisis caused by a power struggle in this OPEC member state.
Images source: © anadolu agency via getty images | Anadolu Agency
Przemysław Ciszak

4 September 2024 11:16

Oil prices on the fuel exchange in New York continue to decline after a 'solid' sell-off during the previous session—by almost 5%. Brokers report that concerns about a potential oversupply of this commodity are increasing while the demand for fuels is weakening.

A barrel of West Texas Intermediate oil for October deliveries costs £55 on NYMEX in New York, after a decrease of 0.57%. Such low oil prices in the USA have not been recorded since January 2024.

Brent on the ICE for November is valued at £57 per barrel, down by 0.47%

In recent days, investors have been closely watching the situation in Libya, one of OPEC's oil suppliers, and have analysed OPEC+'s plans to increase oil supplies from this group starting in October.

Crisis in Libya

A political crisis continues in Libya, caused by the power struggle in this OPEC member state.

Libyan authorities in the eastern part of the country have halted production and export of Libyan oil due to an ongoing dispute with rival authorities in the West, which the West recognises.

The 'eastern' and 'western' governments in Libya remain at an impasse regarding the central bank of Libya, which is the custodian of billions of dollars in oil export revenues.

However, there are signals in the markets that an agreement that could resolve the dispute and restore oil supplies from Libya seems close to being reached.

The governor of Libya's central bank, Sadiq Al-Kahir, who was previously removed from his position by the 'western' authorities in Libya, said on Tuesday that there are 'strong' signs that the warring political factions in Libya are close to reaching an agreement to overcome the current impasse.

Al-Kabir and other employees of Libya's central bank had previously fled the country due to threats from armed groups.

Al-Kabir found refuge in Istanbul. 'If they sign the agreement today, I'll return tomorrow,' he announced.

OPEC+ wants to restore increased supplies

Meanwhile, investors are evaluating OPEC+'s plans to restore greater oil supplies to global markets by this group of producers starting in October.

The OPEC+ alliance plans to deliver 180,000 more barrels of oil per day to the markets from October, gradually restoring production that has been limited since 2022.

So far, there are no signs that OPEC+ might postpone its plans to increase production, representatives of this group of oil producers assure.

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