NewsHarris surpasses Trump by 2 points in YouGov poll

Harris surpasses Trump by 2 points in YouGov poll

Another survey in the USA
Another survey in the USA
Images source: © Associated Press, EPA, East News, PAP | Charles Rex Arbogast, EDWARD M. PIO RODA
Adam Zygiel

1 August 2024 07:11

According to a YouGov poll for The Economist, Kamala Harris is ahead of Donald Trump by two percentage points. This is a significant change, as Trump recently had better results against Harris and Joe Biden.

Forty-six per cent of registered voters want to vote for Kamala Harris. Republican candidate Donald Trump can count on the support of 44% - according to the latest poll.

Three per cent want to vote for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Eight per cent are undecided or do not want to vote.

In recent weeks, Trump had better results than the Democrats in YouGov polls. He had a 2-3 percentage point lead over Biden. After the president decided not to seek re-election, 41% of voters wanted to vote for Harris, while 44% wanted to vote for Trump.

According to YouGov, Harris's support increased among African Americans, Latinos, women, and people under 30.

Who will be Harris's vice-presidential candidate?

It is not yet known who will be Harris's vice-presidential candidate. YouGov examined how Americans view certain politicians. Pete Buttigieg is the most popular (38%), although he also has the most opponents (37%). Mark Kelly is seen as a good candidate by 33%, while 23% are critical of his candidacy.

Among declared Democratic Party voters, 69% want Buttigieg on Harris's ticket, and 56% indicated Kelly.

The poll was conducted among 1,605 U.S. adult citizens. Respondents were selected from YouGov’s opt-in panel to be representative of U.S. adult citizens. A random sample (stratified by gender, age, race, education, geographic region, and voter registration) was selected from the 2019 American Community Survey. The sample was weighted according to gender, age, race, education, 2020 election turnout and presidential vote, baseline party identification, and current voter registration status. Demographic weighting targets come from the 2019 American Community Survey. Baseline party identification is the respondent’s most recent answer given prior to November 1, 2022, and is weighted to the estimated distribution at that time (33% Democratic, 31% Republican). The margin of error for the overall sample is approximately 3%.

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