Russia's energy gambit: Blackmail and propaganda in Moldova
The energy crisis in Transnistria is being utilised by Russia as a form of blackmail against Moldova, according to Centre for Eastern Studies expert Kamil Całus. He states, "Moscow is using the situation for propaganda purposes and to influence Moldovan voters."
Całus expressed surprise at Russia's decision to completely halt supplies. "It was expected that Moscow might limit supplies to Transnistria to a level that would cater to the population's needs but would not suffice for energy production intended for export. However, Russia opted for more drastic measures, precipitating a crisis not just in Transnistria but in the broader region," explained the Centre for Eastern Studies expert.
He further emphasised, "Moscow is also leveraging the current circumstances to disseminate propaganda and sway Moldovan voters."
Energy resources as Russia's weapon
This crisis stems from an expired transit contract between Ukraine and Russia. Although Moscow could maintain supplies through an alternative route, it has chosen not to. Russia is demanding the repayment of gas debts from Moldova, which Chisinau deems unjustified.
Russia accuses Ukraine and Moldova of activities against the Russian-speaking residents of Transnistria. "Russian propagandists assert that, in the middle of winter, Kyiv and Chisinau have decided to 'punish the pro-Russian population of Transnistria for their identity,'" noted a Centre for Eastern Studies analyst.
Since 2022, Moldova has been independent of Russian gas and now imports energy from Romania. This shift has resulted in a 75% increase in energy bills, potentially affecting voter sentiment. The head of Transnistria, Vadim Krasnoselsky, announced that Russia will "soon" supply gas as part of "humanitarian aid." Całus stressed, "Russia does not wish to lose Transnistria, but aims to use it as leverage against Moldova."
