NewsHarris overcomes Trump in shocking Iowa poll result

Harris overcomes Trump in shocking Iowa poll result

A sensational poll reveals Kamala Harris defeating Donald Trump in Iowa. Trump easily won there in 2016 and 2020; when the new poll emerged, he quickly labelled it "fake." Ann Selzer, the poll's author, now responds to the Republican candidate.

Elections in the USA. A poll predicts Trump's loss in Iowa.
Elections in the USA. A poll predicts Trump's loss in Iowa.
Images source: © Getty Images
Danuta Pałęga

5 November 2024 07:41

In the poll by Ann Selzer and the "Des Moines Register," 47% of respondents from the state of Iowa expressed their willingness to vote for Kamala Harris, while 44% supported Trump. This is a surprising result because, in previous elections in this state, Trump won comfortably.

When the new poll appeared, Trump quickly reacted. He called the survey author a "hater" and an "enemy." He added that the poll was "fake."

US elections. "No one would have thought"

During an appearance on MSNBC's Morning Joe, Ann Selzer admitted that the poll results even surprised her.

No one, including myself, would have thought that Iowa could choose Kamala Harris – she said.

Selzer responded to the criticism and assured that her survey is credible. She described her data collection method as "forward polling." - I credit my method for its achievements so far. I call it "forward polling." I want to be in a place where my data can show me what is likely to happen with the future electorate - she explained.

She also addressed the differences between her surveys and others, including the Emerson poll, which simultaneously with her survey showed a 10-point lead for Trump over Harris.

Many other polls consider the results of exit polls and voter turnout from previous elections. I do not make any such assumptions – said Selzer.

Selzer emphasised that she uses the same research method that accurately predicted Trump's victory in previous elections.

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