NewsHarris edges ahead in key swing states as US election nears

Harris edges ahead in key swing states as US election nears

This is a key poll ahead of the conclusion of the presidential elections in the United States. According to a survey commissioned by "The New York Times," Harris is leading in four so-called swing states, Trump in one, and in two states, Harris and Trump enjoy equal support. These differences are still within the margin of statistical error.

The last poll before the end of the elections
The last poll before the end of the elections
Images source: © East News
Mateusz Dolak

3 November 2024 17:27

Interviewers spoke with 7,879 eligible voters in seven states considered to be swing states, which are crucial for determining the results of the elections in the United States.

The researchers interviewed 1,025 voters in Arizona, 1,004 voters in Georgia, 998 voters in Michigan, 1,010 voters in Nevada, 1,010 voters in North Carolina, 1,527 voters in Pennsylvania, and 1,305 voters in Wisconsin between 24th October and 2nd November, with all times recorded in Greenwich Time.

In North Carolina, Kamala Harris enjoys 48% support, while Donald Trump has 46% support.

The two-percentage-point difference in support is also observed in Wisconsin, where 49% of those surveyed intend to vote for Harris, and 47% for Trump.

In Georgia, 48% of respondents plan to vote for Harris, while 47% intend to vote for Trump.

Kamala Harris also has an advantage in the Nevada polls, with 49% of those surveyed declaring support for the Democratic candidate and 46% for the Republican candidate, Trump.

Tie or Trump advantage

An interesting situation arises in the polls conducted in Pennsylvania and Michigan, where Trump and Harris receive the same percentage of votes.

The only state where Donald Trump has an advantage in the poll is Arizona. Here, as many as 49% of respondents declare they will vote for the Republican, with Harris's support being 4 percentage points less.

The margin of sampling error among likely voters is about 1.3 percentage points.

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