Chechen forces bolster Russian assault plans on Kharkiv front
Russian military command has moved Russian special forces to the Ukrainian-Russian border near the Kharkiv region. Experts from the USA are analyzing Putin's army's actions and assess that they may be a plan for an intensified assault. The dispatch of Chechen volunteers to that region is puzzling.
9 June 2024 09:48
The Institute for the Study of War, a Washington think tank that reports detailed movements of Russian troops daily, reported the latest movements on the front in Ukraine. Among others, Chechen "volunteers" have been noticed in the Kharkiv region.
The appearance of units under the command of Chechen commander, Major General and assistant to Akhmat Kadyrov, Apti Alaudinov, who has led Chechen fighters since March 2022 and coordinated actions related to consolidating occupied territories in settlements of the Luhansk region, is intriguing analysts. There is speculation that it may be some planned action in which the Chechens will play a unique role.
As suggested by Americans, the Russian military command may be planning a solid military strike on Ukrainian forces. Russian Northern Forces have been conducting offensive operations in the Kharkiv region since 10 May.
According to the ISW, a Russian mil blogger stated on 6 June that the Russian military command had engaged about 15,000 soldiers there. "But it is unclear if the Russian military command plans to immediately commit these redeployed forces to combat or use them to reinforce the Northern Grouping of Forces to bring it closer to its reported planned end strength," reports the Institute for the Study of War (ISW).
The latest situation on the front in Ukraine. Americans report
The Ukrainian Korchitsa Group of Forces spokesperson, Lieutenant Colonel Nazar Voloshyn, commented on these reports. According to him, Alaudinov's units specialize in "blocking" actions. These are units that implement a specific Russian war technique. They shell allies who decide to retreat and flee during intense warfare.
As ISW experts comment, it is possible that the Russian military command moved Chechens to this region solely for this purpose and not for offensive actions. Voloshyn also stated that the Russian army command probably intends to deploy airborne units and elements of the 11th and 44th Corps of the Leningrad Military District for offensive actions.
On Saturday, military observer Kostantyn Maszowiec reported that each Russian operational grouping is replenished every month with a unit of around 1,000-1,500 soldiers. This means supporting six operational Russian groups on the front requires 6,000-9,000 soldiers. This is still possible as Russia recruits 30,000 conscripts monthly.
ISW has observed in recent months a "pulsing" of Russian offensive operations on the front, during which Russian forces alternately intensify attacks and decrease operational tempo to replenish losses. As experts comment, this constant influx of new forces may impact the "regeneration" of Russian ranks, but these won't be adequately trained and equipped units.
Therefore, it is possible that these fresh forces will be thrown back into the front and forced to make superhuman efforts. The Chechen "escort" is supposed to have a chilling effect, discouraging retreat and flight to the rear, forcing soldiers to make a deadly sacrifice in battle.