NewsUkraine's strategic victories and the waiting game for Europe's move

Ukraine's strategic victories and the waiting game for Europe's move

Ukraine has performed two miracles on the front. Can it achieve a third?
Ukraine has performed two miracles on the front. Can it achieve a third?
Images source: © Getty Images | Anadolu Agency
Kamil Różycki

10 April 2024 17:38

The war in Ukraine continues, and its resolution seems increasingly distant. Experts are weighing in with their perspectives, including Russian analyst Andriej Piontkowski. He asserts that Ukraine has already accomplished two significant feats and now awaits further action from Europe, suggesting that Ukraine's defeat is not inevitable.

The impending summer holds critical importance for both the Ukrainian military and the whole of Europe. It's during the warmer months that most military operations take place, and the majority of the territory is reclaimed from Russian control. This year's end of summer will be particularly noteworthy, owing to the upcoming elections in the USA.

Many analysts, including Piontkowski, believe these elections will be pivotal in determining the war's trajectory. The elected U.S. President will significantly influence the support provided to Ukraine and Europe's sense of security.

The prospect of a U.S. President who might withhold assistance to Europe has long concerned European nations, prompting discussions about forming a European army for the past 50 years. Piontkowski warned on Channel24 about the potential risk of Europe being left without the USA's support following the elections.

Ukraine has already performed miracles, but needs more support

In discussions, Piontkowski highlighted Ukraine's accomplishment of two significant military feats.

He stressed the importance of thwarting grim CIA predictions that envisioned Kyiv falling within approximately three days in the event of a war.

According to him, these achievements have left the Kremlin in a vulnerable position. Ukraine managed to prevent Russia from dominating the Black Sea, which was crucial not only for Ukraine's economy but also as a symbol of victory over the Russian fleet. This success bodes well for the ongoing conflict and the anticipated peace negotiations.

Despite the challenges, Ukrainian merchant ships continue to navigate the Black Sea, even as the Odesa and Kherson regions face constant attacks from Russia. This situation underscores the need for Western military aircraft, as noted by Piontkowski.

He believes the war's outcome remains undecided, pointing out that while Russian forces are advancing, Ukraine is defending and awaiting further support from the West, including equipment and reinforcements. Without this support, Ukraine risks a significant setback this summer.
Piontkowski observes that the Ukrainian military is gradually being worn down. Although it has achieved its initial goals, which many thought were ambitious, it now requires additional support, including the involvement of European armies in the conflict.