Deadlock in the polls: Harris and Trump in neck-and-neck race
In the upcoming presidential elections, Kamala Harris can count on the support of 46% of voters. However, according to the latest nationwide Ipsos poll for Reuters, the Republican candidate is not far behind the Democratic candidate.
22 October 2024 21:49
Harris's lead remains unchanged as the November presidential elections in the USA approach. The nationwide Ipsos poll for Reuters showed an identical lead for Harris among registered voters (46-43%) and those most likely to participate in the elections (48-45%). A similar survey conducted a week earlier showed practically the same picture.
Harris holds the lead despite the predominant pessimism among voters who believe that the country is on the wrong track regarding the cost of living (70%), immigration (65%), and the economy (60%). The largest number of respondents (35%) cited immigration as the most urgent issue to address.
Meanwhile, the survey indicates that many voters prefer Trump's approach to these key issues (on immigration: 46-35%, on the economy: 48-38%). Regarding another major issue — the threat to democracy — Harris is preferred (42-35%).
A tight race for the White House
Two other nationwide polls published on Tuesday, two weeks before election day, show a similarly tight race for the White House.
The daily TIPP Insights poll on Tuesday shows a tie at 48-48% (a change of 1 percentage point in favour of Harris compared to Monday and 2 percentage points compared to Sunday), while the Morning Consult poll has Harris leading by 4 percentage points — 50-46% (unchanged from a similar survey a week earlier).
Even though Harris is favoured to win more votes nationwide, this does not necessarily translate into a victory in the Electoral College, which decides the presidency. Averages of polls in the swing states that will determine the outcome indicate virtually a tie: in five out of seven key states, the difference between the candidates is less than 1 percentage point.
