Turbulence over Europe on the rise as climate warms skies
Scientists from the Italian Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology are raising concerns about the increasing frequency of turbulence on European flight routes, particularly over the Mediterranean Sea, Northern Europe, and the United Kingdom. This phenomenon is believed to be a consequence of climate change.
12 December 2024 10:19
Researchers from the Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology have conducted a study indicating a rise in the number of turbulence incidents on European flight routes. This situation is particularly significant in the Mediterranean region, Northern Europe, and the United Kingdom. The study's findings, based on data spanning the last few decades, have been published in Geophysical Research Letters.
An analysis of data from the past 44 years has shown that climate change has increased moderate and severe turbulence. Scientists emphasise that these results could help develop new forecasting methods and strategies to mitigate the effects of turbulence, ultimately improving passenger safety and comfort.
Tommaso Alberti from the Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology explains that clear-air turbulence (CAT) is especially hazardous because it occurs in cloudless conditions, making it difficult to detect and predict. This creates significant risks for both pilots and passengers.
Seasonal increase in turbulence
The research revealed that the intensity of turbulence over Europe varies with the seasons. It tends to be more severe in winter and milder in summer. Consequently, summer holiday flights may be less stressful than winter ski trips.
Alberti highlights that global warming has significantly affected the frequency of turbulence instances in the region. The findings from the Italian scientists' research could lead to a better understanding of the impact of climate change on flight conditions and to the development of more effective strategies to manage this phenomenon.
