Kamala Harris emerges as Democratic frontrunner against Trump

President Joe Biden announced over the weekend that he would withdraw from the race for re-election in the 5 November elections. As of today, the nearly particular favourite to represent the Democratic Party is the current Vice President of the USA, and former California Attorney General and California Senator, Kamala Harris.

The chances of the lawyer participating in the election are almost certain after recent polls gave her a two-percentage-point lead over Donald Trump. Kamala Harris on Monday became the unofficial candidate of the Democrats for head of state and will officially become the candidate on 7 August at the earliest, as that's when the party's convention will take place. However, there is no time to lose, so she has promptly started her election campaign.

The first stop for Kamala Harris was the state of Wisconsin. The unofficial Democratic candidate was warmly received at a campaign rally on 23 July. Differences between her economic programme and Donald Trump's plans were immediately noticeable.

- We believe in a future where every senior can retire with dignity. Building up the middle class will be a defining goal of my presidency. When our middle class is strong, American is strong - she added.

American media with strong conviction predict that former prosecutor Harris will face Trump, who has been legally convicted of falsifying financial records. Since economic issues are the main points of the Republican's campaign, they naturally inquired about what the current Vice President Joe Biden's deputy might propose.

The main topic is taxes because in 2025 tax breaks introduced during Donald Trump's first term will expire. Trump not only intends to extend them but also deepen them.

The agency also recalls that in the 2020 election campaign, Biden proposed that the corporate tax be increased from 21% to 28%, whereas Harris was even stricter, calling for an increase to 35%. Trump, on the other hand, wanted to lower it to 15%.

It should be emphasised that the details of Kamala Harris's current economic programme are not yet known. However, American media predominantly expect that she will follow the path set by Joe Biden, and if any change is anticipated, it is a tightening of the course against the wealthiest Americans and big business.

- Kamala Harris is an excellent lawyer, but she is not an economist. She has no personal experience in the world of business or macroeconomics, so her economic programme will undoubtedly take shape. Her campaign team and economic advisers will undoubtedly play a significant role - says Prof. Stanisław Flejterski, a lecturer at WSB Merito University in Szczecin.

According to the economist, one should not expect a revolution in economic policy compared to the last few years when Joe Biden took over power in the USA.

- Kamala Harris's economic programme will be forged during the campaign, talks, and debates. I think it will be a continuation of Joe Biden's policy, perhaps with a slight shift towards centre-left, meaning a greater emphasis on social issues - says Prof. Flejterski.

Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics, shares a similar view. - I think she will follow the Biden economic script closely - he said in an interview with "USA Today". The article pointed out that the Democrat will position herself as a "candidate for continuity and stability".

As for social issues, Harris advocates expanding Medicare universal health insurance to all Americans. New tax burdens could cover the costs. Trump, let it be added, wants to cut the programme.

- Greater hopes in Kamala Harris are placed rather among poorer Americans than the wealthiest. However, I wouldn't worry too much about the fate of American multi-billionaires. They will manage - comments Prof. Flejterski.

In this context, Bloomberg recalls that the Vice President "on financial markets proposed taxing stock transactions at 0.2%, bond trading at 0.1%, and derivative transactions at 0.002%."

Kamala Harris is also opposed to Donald Trump's plans to introduce 10% tariffs on all imported goods, except Chinese ones, which the Republican would like to subject to several times higher fees.

"The New York Times" recalls that last week, Harris said that such a policy would increase the prices of petrol, groceries, and clothing in the USA. - His tariffs would drive up the costs of daily family expenses - she stated. She herself advocated for stimulating exports.

Donald Trump wants to address the American deficit with tariffs. Increased oil and natural gas extraction would also serve this purpose, and the Democrats will certainly not agree to this.

Kamala Harris is known for her critical stance towards oil companies. Bloomberg recently wrote that her position is much more decisive on this matter than President Joe Biden's.

In the past, as California Attorney General, Harris took numerous actions against oil giants, known as "Big Oil," including filing lawsuits against pipeline companies for oil spills. She also investigated Exxon Mobil Corp., accusing the company of misleading public opinion on climate change.

In 2019, Harris publicly called for a ban on hydraulic fracturing, a practice used in the oil industry to extract oil and gas from dense rock formations (shale gas extraction). As Bloomberg noted, Biden has never supported this move, but Harris was particularly critical of the development of offshore oil extraction.

Harris sought to limit new drilling off the coast of California and, as the state's Attorney General, took the matter to court, challenging federal permits issued for fracking in Pacific waters.